Jonas Vestby: Bibliography
24 publications
The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Political development predicts reduced human cost of flooding
Journal article in Nature Communications
Peace and good institutions save lives from floods
Popular article in United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement
Journal article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Before the flood: Lessons from attempts to predict displacement
Popular article in New Security Beat
Migration drivers across time and space: selected examples
Book chapter in From Uncertainty to Policy: A Guide to Migration Scenarios
Nils B Weidmann (2023) Data Management for the Social Sciences
Book review in JPR Book Notes
Predicting (de-)Escalation of Sub-National Violence Using Gradient Boosting: Does It Work?
Journal article in International Interactions
Climate and International Migration Flows: A Sensitivity Analysis of Gravity Model Specifications
QuantMig Background Paper
Why do some poor countries see armed conflict while others do not? A dual sector approach
Journal article in World Development
Climatic conditions are weak predictors of asylum migration
Journal article in Nature Communications
Rainfall Variability and Violent, State-Based Conflict: A Machine Learning Approach to Estimate Context Specificity
Master thesis
ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Climate variability and individual motivations for participating in political violence
Journal article in Global Environment Change
Machine Learning and the Police: Asking the Right Questions
Journal article in Policing: A Journal of Policy and Practice
On Growth Projections in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
Journal article in Global Environmental Politics
Climate, development, and conflict: Learning from the past and mapping uncertainties of the future
PhD thesis
Fører matmangel til mer krig?
Popular article in Bistandsaktuelt
Does hunger cause conflict?
Popular article in PRIO Climate & Conflict Blog
Identifying the effect of climate variability on communal conflict through randomization
Journal article in Climatic Change
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways
Journal article in Environmental Research Letters
Peace research – Just the study of war?
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict
Journal article in Climatic Change
Climate and conflict: A Comment on Hsiang et al.'s Reply to Buhaug et al.
PRIO Paper
