Håvard Mokleiv Nygård: Bibliography
109 publications
Introducing the Mapping Attitudes, Perceptions and Support (MAPS) dataset on the Colombian peace process
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Introducing the ETH/PRIO Civil Conflict Ceasefire Dataset
Journal article in Journal Conflict Resolution
Ceasefires in Civil Conflict: A Research Agenda
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Costs and Cover: Explaining the Onset of Ceasefires in Civil Conflict
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization
Journal article in Political Analysis
Can We Predict Armed Conflict? How the First 9 Years of Published Forecasts Stand Up to Reality
Journal article in International Studies Quarterly
Kan vi forutse krig? Studier gir grunn til optimisme
Popular article in Aftenposten
Lights and Shadows of the Peace Agreement Implementation in Colombia: Attitudes and Perceptions in the PDET Territories
PRIO-UNDP joint report
Defection during dissent and regime transitions
Conference paper
Statistical sightings of better angels: Analysing the distribution of battle-deaths in interstate conflict over time
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Norge bør fronte fredsbevarende operasjoner
Popular article in Dagens Næringsliv
Safety and Security
Book chapter in Handbook on Governance Statistics
How Should We Understand Patterns of Recurring Conflict?
Conflict Trends
Timing Matters: The Impact of Regularity of Election Cycles on Autocratic Stability
Conference paper
Are the Coronavirus Ceasefires Working?
Conflict Trends
The Strategic Use of Ceasefires in the Coronavirus Crisis
PRIO Paper
Timing Matters: The Impact of Regularity of Election Cycles on Autocratic Stability
Journal article in Electoral Studies
Ender protestene med bare nok en rapport?
Popular article in Aftenposten
Finding the needle in the haystack: Fine-tuning transformers to classify protest events in a sea of news articles, with Bayesian uncertainty measures
Master thesis
The Dynamics of Civil Wars: A Bayesian hidden Markov model applied to the pattern of conflict and the role of ceasefires
Conference paper
Which institutions matter? Re-considering the democratic civil peace
Journal article in International Studies Quarterly
The Effect of COVID-19 on Peace Agreement Implementation
PRIO Paper
What will the world look like after the pandemic?
Journal article in Jeju Forum Journal
Conflict Trends in the Middle East, 1989–2019
Conflict Trends
SDG 16 Data Initiative: 2020 Global Report
SDG 16 Data Initiative Global Reports
Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2019
Conflict Trends
Luces y sombras de la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia: Actitudes y percepciones en los territorios PDET
PRIO-UNDP joint report
Evaluating the conflict-reducing effect of UN peacekeeping operations
Journal article in The Journal of Politics
The Consequences of Contention: Understanding the Aftereffects of Political Conflict and Violence
Journal article in Annual Review of Political Science
ViEWS: A political Violence Early-Warning System
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
