Gudmund Horn Hermansen
Senior Researcher
Latest publications
Marianne Dahl et al. (2026)
Only a Moment in Time? The Changing Effectiveness of Mass Mobilization on Transitions to Democracy
Only a Moment in Time? The Changing Effectiveness of Mass Mobilization on Transitions to Democracy
Journal article in Comparative Political Studies
Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Gudmund Horn Hermansen & Carl Henrik Knutsen (2021)
Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization
Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization
Journal article in Political Analysis
Gudmund Horn Hermansen et al. (2020)
The Dynamics of Civil Wars: A Bayesian hidden Markov model applied to the pattern of conflict and the role of ceasefires
The Dynamics of Civil Wars: A Bayesian hidden Markov model applied to the pattern of conflict and the role of ceasefires
Conference paper
Chris Ghai (2020)
Finding the needle in the haystack: Fine-tuning transformers to classify protest events in a sea of news articles, with Bayesian uncertainty measures
Finding the needle in the haystack: Fine-tuning transformers to classify protest events in a sea of news articles, with Bayesian uncertainty measures
Master thesis
Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Carl Henrik Knutsen & Gudmund Horn Hermansen (2019)
Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization
Characterizing and Assessing Temporal Heterogeneity: Introducing a Change Point Framework, with Applications on the Study of Democratization
Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Institute Working Paper Series