- Conflict processes
- Crime and social violence
- Human rights and state repression
- Political regimes and regime change
Mauricio Rivera Celestino
Senior Researcher
Email: mauriv@prio.org
Interests and experience
Projects
Sept 2021 – Jun 2025
DISARM: How post-accord disarmament affects peace and conflict dynamics
DISARM: How post-accord disarmament affects peace and conflict dynamics
Mar 2020 – Jun 2025
The Crime-Reducing Effect of Education: Disaggregating Education and Impact on Violent Crime (CREED)
The Crime-Reducing Effect of Education: Disaggregating Education and Impact on Violent Crime (CREED)
Dec 2018 – Jan 2026
Future Migration as Present Fact (FUMI)
Future Migration as Present Fact (FUMI)
Jul 2018 – Jun 2023
Securing the Victory? Understanding Dynamics of Short-run and Long-term Success in Popular Uprisings and Democratization
Securing the Victory? Understanding Dynamics of Short-run and Long-term Success in Popular Uprisings and Democratization
Latest publications
All of Mauricio Rivera Celestino publications
Mauricio Rivera Celestino, Rodrigo Salazar-Elena & Barbara Zarate-Tenorio (2026)
The security imperative: how crime conditions the electoral effects of inequality in Latin America
The security imperative: how crime conditions the electoral effects of inequality in Latin America
Journal article in Journal of Political Institutions and Political Economy
Marianne Dahl et al. (2026)
Security force disloyalty in nonviolent and violent campaigns, 1970–2013: introducing a new dataset
Security force disloyalty in nonviolent and violent campaigns, 1970–2013: introducing a new dataset
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Marianne Dahl, Mauricio Rivera Celestino & Scott Gates (2025)
Disaggregating Defection: Dissent Campaign Strategies and Security Force Disloyalty
Disaggregating Defection: Dissent Campaign Strategies and Security Force Disloyalty
Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
Mauricio Rivera Celestino (2025)
Parties of dissent: political institutions and mass mobilization in dictatorships
Parties of dissent: political institutions and mass mobilization in dictatorships
Journal article in Democratization
Mauricio Rivera Celestino & Júlia Palik (2025)
DDR provisions in peace agreements: Global trends, 1975–2021
DDR provisions in peace agreements: Global trends, 1975–2021
PRIO Policy Brief
Júlia Palik et al. (2025)
Disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration in peace agreements (1975–2021): Introducing the DDR dataset
Disarmament, demobilization, and reintegration in peace agreements (1975–2021): Introducing the DDR dataset
Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
Mauricio Rivera Celestino, Sungwon Lee & Timo Kivimäki (2024)
Coups and refugee flows in autocracies and democracies
Coups and refugee flows in autocracies and democracies
Journal article in Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies
Mauricio Rivera (2023)
Sarah Zukerman Daly (2023) Violent Victors: Why Bloodstained Parties Win Postwar Elections
Sarah Zukerman Daly (2023) Violent Victors: Why Bloodstained Parties Win Postwar Elections
Book review in JPR Book Notes
Marianne Dahl, Mauricio Rivera & Scott Gates (2022)
Unpacking Disloyalty: Dissent Strategies and Subversive Actions Among Security Forces
Unpacking Disloyalty: Dissent Strategies and Subversive Actions Among Security Forces
Conference paper
Mauricio Rivera, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch & Martin Macias (2022)
A Double -Edge Sword? Mass Media and Nonviolent Dissent in Autocracies
A Double -Edge Sword? Mass Media and Nonviolent Dissent in Autocracies
Journal article in Political Research Quarterly
Latest news
Tuesday, 9 Nov 2021
Call for Applications: Research Assistant Position at PRIO
Call for Applications: Research Assistant Position at PRIO
PRIO seeks to recruit a Research Assistant in a 50% position, to work for 10 months on the DISARM project within the CVP department.
Thursday, 24 Jun 2021
New Project on Disarmament
New Project on Disarmament
The DISARM project seeks is to identify the impact of disarmament processes on conflict recurrence and pinpoint the conditions under which disarmament can be the most effective.
Monday, 9 Mar 2020
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
PRIO Has the Leading Experts on Protests
How does a country’s security apparatus react to a protest movement?And what happens in the aftermath of successful protests?PRIO has long been at the forefront of research on protest movements.
Wednesday, 18 Dec 2019
The Crime-Reducing Effect of Education - Funding in Place for Project
The Crime-Reducing Effect of Education - Funding in Place for Project
Can governments reduce violent crime by increasing education, and if so, under what conditions?Mauricio Rivera has received FINNUT funding from the Research Council of Norway for the 4-year project The Crime-Reducing Effect of Education: Disaggregating Education and Impact on Violent Crime (CREED).