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    Paola Vesco: Bibliography

    22 publications

    Paola Vesco et al. (2026)
    The underreported death toll of wars: a probabilistic reassessment from a survey with UCDP coders

    Journal article in Journal of Conflict Resolution
    Weston Anderson et al. (2026)
    Responsible use of artificial intelligence and machine learning for food security early warning systems

    Journal article in Nature Food
    Vally Koubi, Jürgen Scheffran & Paola Vesco (2026)
    Challenges for security: conflict and cooperation in the Mediterranean

    Environmental Change, Conflict, and Human Migration in the Mediterranean Basin, MedECC Reports.

    Halvard Buhaug & Paola Vesco (2026)
    Zero hunger is not achievable without peace

    Journal article in Nature Food
    Lucas Dawson, Marie K. Schellens & Paola Vesco (2026)
    Key factors of violent natural resource-related conflicts and their implications for post-conflict forest landscape restoration: a systematic review of the resource-conflict nexus using causal network analysis.

    Journal article in Sustainability Science
    Paola Vesco et al. (2026)
    Sudan’s death toll in 2025 could be as high as 100,000: how we did the count

    Popular article in The Conversation
    Paola Vesco, Elisabeth Gilmore & Halvard Buhaug (2026)
    The impacts of armed conflict on climate action (SDG 13): a review of the literature

    Book chapter in The Elgar Companion to Peace and the Sustainable Development Goals
    Paola Vesco et al. (2025)
    The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature

    Journal article in World Development
    Håvard Hegre et al. (2025)
    The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty

    Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
    Paola Vesco et al. (2025)
    Political development predicts reduced human cost of flooding

    Journal article in Nature Communications
    Paola Vesco & Halvard Buhaug (2025)
    Hvorfor Norge ikke har råd til å kutte i fredsbygging

    Popular article in Dagsavisen
    Paola Vesco et al. (2025)
    Peace and good institutions save lives from floods

    Popular article in United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
    Paola Vesco (2025)
    Towers of Ivory and Steel: How Israeli Universities Deny Palestinian Freedom

    Book review in JPR Book Notes
    Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi & Håvard Hegre (2022)
    The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted

    Popular article in PRIO Blogs
    Paola Vesco et al. (2022)
    United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition

    Journal article in International Interactions
    Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi (2022)
    Lessons from an escalation prediction competition

    Journal article in International Interactions
    Sophie von Loeben et al. (2022)
    Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the Sahel
    Håvard Hegre et al. (2022)
    Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict: Forecasts for April 2022-March 2025
    Håvard Hegre et al. (2022)
    Forecasting Fatalities
    Paola Vesco et al. (2021)
    Climate variability, crop and conflict: Exploring the impacts of spatial concentration in agricultural production

    Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
    Håvard Hegre et al. (2021)
    ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System

    Journal article in Journal of Peace Research
    Paola Vesco & Halvard Buhaug (2020)
    Climate and conflict

    Book chapter in Routledge Handbook of Peace, Security and Development

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